Options Valuation: An Introduction
Let us now look into the pricing of options. We have already seen the price of options at the time of expiry. We now have to know its value before the expiry, and for this, Let's explore the factors that affect option prices before expiry. These factors are:
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Underlying stock price: The current market price of the underlying stock.
Strike price: The predetermined price at which the option can be exercised.
Time to expiry: The remaining time until the option expires.
Volatility: The expected fluctuations in the underlying stock's price.
Risk-free interest rate: The current interest rate of risk-free investments, such as government bonds.
Dividend yield: The dividend payment rate of the underlying stock.
These factors interact with each other in complex ways, making option pricing a fascinating and challenging task. We'll delve into the details of each factor and explore how they influence option prices.
Strike price.
The strike price has a direct impact on the option premium.
For Call Options:
A lower strike price means a higher premium, as the option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying stock at a lower price.
Example: INFY call with a strike price of Rs. 1000 has a premium of Rs. 20, while a call with a strike price of Rs. 960 has a higher premium of Rs. 24.
For Put Options:
A higher strike price means a higher premium, as the option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying stock at a higher price.
Example: A put option with a higher strike price will have a higher premium, as it gives the holder the right to sell the stock at a higher price.
So, the relationship between strike price and premium is:
Inverse for Call Options: Lower strike price = Higher premium
Direct for Put Options: Higher strike price = Higher premium
The spot price of the underlying stock.
The spot price of the underlying stock has a significant impact on the option premium.
Here's a summary of the relationship between spot price and option premium:
For Call Options:
A higher spot price means a higher premium, as the option is more likely to expire in-the-money.
Example: If the spot price of the underlying stock is high, the call option that is in-the-money will have a higher value.
For Put Options:
A higher spot price means a lower premium, as the option is less likely to expire in-the-money.
Example: If the spot price of the underlying stock is high, the put option that is out-of-the-money will have a lower value.
So, the relationship between spot price and premium is:
Direct for Call Options: Higher spot price = Higher premium
Inverse for Put Options: Higher spot price = Lower premium
Time to expiry
Time to expiry is a crucial factor in option pricing.
The more time remaining until expiry, the higher the probability of the option moving in-the-money, making the option more valuable. As a result, the premium increases with the time to expiry.
Here's a summary:
For both Call and Put Options:
More time to expiry means a higher premium.
Example: A three-month option contract will have a higher premium compared to a one-month option contract.
The relationship between time to expiry and premium is direct for both Call and Put Options:
More time to expiry = Higher premium
The volatility of the underlying stock
Volatility is a crucial factor in option pricing, and it affects both call and put options similarly.
When the underlying stock price is highly volatile, the chances of the option expiring in-the-money increase, making the option more valuable. As a result, the premium rises with volatility.
Here's a summary:
For both Call and Put Options:
Higher volatility of the underlying stock price means a higher premium.
Example: If the stock price is highly volatile, the option holder has a higher chance of making a profit, and the option writer faces greater risk, resulting in a higher premium.
The relationship between volatility and premium is direct for both Call and Put Options:
Higher volatility = Higher premium
Risk-free rate
The risk-free interest rate also impacts option pricing.
When the risk-free interest rate increases:
The present value of the strike price decreases, making the option more attractive, and thus increasing the premium for call options.
The present value of the strike price decreases, making the option less attractive, and thus decreasing the premium for put options.
Here's a summary:
For Call Options:
Higher risk-free interest rate = Higher premium
For Put Options:
Higher risk-free interest rate = Lower premium
Dividends
Dividends also impact option pricing.
When dividends are declared:
The stock price decreases, making the put option more valuable and increasing its premium.
The stock price decreases, making the call option less valuable and decreasing its premium.
Here's a summary:
For Call Options:
Higher dividend = Lower premium
For Put Options:
Higher dividend = Higher premium
You've now covered all the major factors that affect option pricing! These factors are used in option pricing models, such as the Black-Scholes model, to estimate the value of options contracts before expiry.