Elliott Wave Theory: An Introduction
The Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that helps traders and investors understand and predict market trends. Developed by Ralph Elliott in the 1930s, this theory is based on the idea that markets move in predictable patterns, called waves, driven by crowd psychology.
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The Theory's Core Idea:
Elliott believed that markets are driven by the collective behavior of investors, who predictably react to news and events. This collective behavior creates a series of waves, or patterns, that can be identified and used to predict future market movements.
The Five Core Principles:
Wave Patterns: Markets move in a series of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three waves in the opposite direction.
Wave Degrees: Waves come in different sizes, or degrees, which are classified as Primary, Intermediate, and Minor.
Wave Direction: Waves move in the direction of the main trend, with impulse waves (1, 3, 5) moving in the direction of the trend and corrective waves (2, 4) moving against the trend.
Fibonacci Ratios: Waves relate to each other in a specific way, using Fibonacci ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, etc.).
Fractals: Wave patterns repeat themselves at different degrees, creating a fractal structure.
Understanding these principles can help you:
Identify the main trend and its direction
Anticipate potential reversals and corrections
Set profit targets and stop-loss levels
Improve your market timing and decision-making